January 5th, 2009
economics+retail sales+bank interest rates

  • why should high interest rates keep shoppers out of the stores and/or conversely why should high consumer spending reduce the need for the Bank of England to raise interest rates?


  • Hi! Thanks for the question. Our first two articles will mainly reference the Federal Reserve of the USA which is the counterpart of the Bank of England in Britain. We will take a look on how it uses interest rates to control consumer spending and the economy which we will see later from the Bank of England website is the same action they take in their monetary policy. But first here is the basic idea. Higher interest rates will mean that the cost of borrowing money will be high so it discourages people to make loans and then spend them so they troop less to the stores. Conversely if the interest rate is low people will be encouraged to make loans to purchase items or even homes and cars. So why does the Federal Reserve or the Bank of England do such things? They are actually looking at the bigger picture here which is the nation?s economy. ?The Fed's primary control is in the raising and lowering of short-term interest rates. In doing this, the Fed can indirectly influence demand, which then influences the economy. For example, if interest rates are lowered, borrowing money to make purchases becomes less expensive, and people are more motivated to spend money because they can get a better deal on the loan. Spending money, in turn, stimulates economic growth, which is what the Fed is trying to do in that instance. If there is too much money in the economy, however, people spend more money and demand increases at a faster rate than supply can match. Prices rise too quickly because of the shortage of products, and inflation results. If there is too little money in the economy, people don't have excess spending money, and there is little economic growth.? ?The Fed watches economic indicators closely to determine in which the direction the economy is going. By forecasting increases in inflation or slow-downs in the economy, the Fed knows whether to increase or decrease the supply of money.? ?How the Fed Works? http://money.howstuffworks.com/fed.htm/printable ?Changes in real interest rates affect the public's demand for goods and services mainly by altering borrowing costs, the availability of bank loans, the wealth of households, and foreign exchange rates.? ?For example, a decrease in real interest rates lowers the cost of borrowing; that leads businesses to increase investment spending, and it leads households to buy durable goods, such as autos and new homes.? ?In addition, lower real rates and a healthy economy may increase banks' willingness to lend to businesses and households. This may increase spending, especially by smaller borrowers who have few sources of credit other than banks.? ?US Monetary Policy: How it Affects the Economy? http://www.frbsf.org/publications/federalreserve/monetary/affect.html As regards the Bank of England, it says generally the same thing about interest rates and monetary policy. ?If the demand for goods and services grows faster than the country's ability to supply items, prices rise and inflation occurs. The objective of monetary policy is to maintain overall price stability. Some prices may go up, some may go down, but if the general price level of goods and services is unchanged, then money keeps its value. Stable prices help people to make well-informed, rational decisions about whether to save or borrow, to invest or consume, and what and when to produce.? ?The Bank of England influences the cost of money by altering the short-term nominal interest rate. It sets an interest rate for its own dealings with the market, which in turn affects the rates set by banks for savers and borrowers as already explained but, this also affects the prices of assets such as shares and property, consumer and business demand, and output and employment.? ?If interest rates are too low, this may encourage too much borrowing and spending and result in the emergence of inflationary pressures. If interest rates are too high, this may discourage borrowing and spending. That will help bring inflation down but may temporarily reduce output and employment.? ?Core Purposes? http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/Links/setframe.html Search strategy used: "interest rate" ?Bank of England? ?Federal Reserve? ?monetary policy? spending I hope these links would help you in your research. Before rating this answer, please ask for a clarification if you have a question or if you would need further information. Thanks for visiting us! Regards, Easterangel-ga Google Answers Researcher


  • Hello tallahas, The recent increase of .25 percentage points, brining the current UK base rate to 4% was done on advice from Gordon Brown's economic advisor. It is correctly suggested that lower interest rates encourage consumer borrowing and debt, which in turn increases the amount of consumer cash available to spend. By increasing the base rate, borrowing becomes more costly (and hopefully less appealing) and therefore decreases the amount of consumer money available to spend, subsequently decreasing rates. The ideal situation would be that consumers have enough guidance and knowledge to know that high borrowing is not preferable. This would allow the BoE to set the rates low (allowing property to appreciate in value) with the assurance that consumer secondary borrowing (loans and credit cards) will not increase. High consumer spending will never result in lower rates UNLESS the spending is from non borrowed monies, ie If consumer spending increases but borrowing doesn't then there is no need to raise rates, however we know this is not possible as the treasury is always knowing exactly what value of currency is in circulation. I hope this helps a bit!? Cheers, Tuneman? UK Economist / "Bling Bling" Expert


  • Thanks for the 5 stars and for the tip! :)







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    Filed under: xn--qi1a.com — cfz @ January 5, 2009 edit